And the 2019 Masters Winner Is…


"You don't come to Augusta to find your game. You come here because you've got one." -- Gene Sarazen (1902 to 1999), winner of seven Majors, including the 1935 Masters


I don’t know about you, but I love Masters week – and the PGA Championship week and U.S. Open week and The (British) Open Championship. The Majors are different because every golfer gives his dead level best to win. If you win a Major, your life is changed forever. The golf is always great in a Major, but the drama is even greater. 

Last year, Jordan Spieth and Tiger were the favorites, but it was the relatively unknown, 50-1 Patrick Reed who put on the green jacket.

Player/2018 Finish

Odds

Player

Odds

Jordan Spieth – 3rd

10/1

Hideki Matsuyama – 19th

35/1

Tiger Woods – Tie 32

10/1

Sergio Garcia - Cut

35/1

Dustin Johnson  Tie 10 w/ Tony Finau

12/1

Alex Noren - Cut

40/1

Justin Thomas - Tie 17

12/1

Henrik Stenson  Tie 5

45/1

Rory McIlroy  Tie 5

12/1

Matt Kuchar Tie 28

45/1

Bubba Watson – Tie 5

15/1

Patrick Reed  1st

50/1

Justin Rose – Tie 12

15/1

Tommy Fleetwood – Tie 5

50/1

Phil Mickelson – Tie 36

15/1

Ian Poulter – Tie 44

60/1

Jason Day  Tie 20

20/1

L. Oosthuizen  Tie 12

60/1

Jon Rahm – 4th

25/1

Adam Scott  Tie 32

66/1

Paul Casey – Tie 15

25/1

B. DeChambeau – Tie 38

66/1

Rickie Fowler – 2nd

25/1

Marc Leishman – 9th

70/1


Currently, Rory McIlroy, who has won every Major but the Masters, is the favorite (7-1), while Tiger Woods, who has won the Masters four times, but whose last Major victory was the 2008 U.S. Open, is again ranked way up there (14-1) by a hoard of VERY wishful thinkers.

Player

Odds

Player

Odds

Rory McIlroy

7 -1

Tommy Fleetwood

25-1

Dustin Johnson

9-1

Bryson DeChambeau

25-1

Justin Rose

12-1

Jason Day

25-1

Tiger Woods (97, 01, 02 & 05 champion)

14-1

Paul Casey

28-1

Jon Rahm

16-1

Bubba Watson (2012 & 2014 champion)

33-1

Justin Thomas

18-1

Hideki Matsuyama

33-1

Jordan Spieth (2015 champion)

20-1

Phil Mickelson (2004, 06 & 10 champion)

40-1

Rickie Fowler

20-1

Xander Schauffele

40-1

Brooks Koepka

22-1

Patrick Reed

(2018 champion)

40-1

Francesco Molinari

22-1

Sergio Garcia (2017 champion)

45-1


Of course, while Las Vegas has its odds, which are based on where the money is going, not who the bookmakers actually believe will win, the majority of the experts are going with Rory McIlroy, the No. 3 ranked player in the world.

Kyle Porter, CBS Sports – 1. Rory McIlroy 2. Justin Rose 3. Justin Thomas 4. Dustin Johnson 5. Jon Rahm 13. Tiger Woods.

On McIlroy: “Did you expect to find somebody else who has finished in the top 10 in five straight Masters and hasn't finished outside the top 10 in any event worldwide this calendar year?”

Alex Myers, Golf World – 1. Dustin Johnson 2. Rory McIlroy 3. Justin Rose 4. Jon Rahm 5. Brooks Koepka 8. Tiger Woods.

On Koepka: “He’s the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year and he’s won three of the past six Majors he’s teed it up in.”

Heavy.com – 1. Rory McIlroy 2. Jon Rahm 3. Justin Rose 4. Tiger Woods 5. Jordan Spieth.

On Woods: “Woods is not surging, but he has been dependable in 2019. He has finished in the Top 15 in two of the last three tournaments. Woods knows this course as well as anyone but fell out of contention last year finishing T-32.

Alan Shipnuck, Golf.com senior writer: “Justin Rose. So many close calls (5 Top 10s) on that golf course — it’s time to finally cash one in.”

Pat Ralph, Golf.com associate editor: Dustin Johnson. DJ has been knocking on the door at Augusta with three straight Top 10 finishes and he’s already got two wins so far in 2019. This year he finally gets his own green jacket.”

Brentley Romine, Golf Channel: 1. Rory McIlroy 2. Justin Rose 3. Dustin Johnson 4. Justin Thomas 5. Jon Rahm 9. Tiger Woods.

On Rahm: “He’s coming off a solo fourth last year in just his second trip to Augusta National. He’s one of the best drivers of the golf ball on Tour, but his chances of winning will come down to iron play.”

Steve Bamford – golfbettingsystem.co.uk: Rickie Fowler and Rory McIlroy (are my co-favorites). Of those two, there’s no statistical reason to suggest that neither will win.”

 

Okay, while Rory is the favorite for two good reasons – he hits the ball a long way and his putting has been better – the odds are against him. Simply put, the Vegas favorite rarely wins. That is why The Committee’s Top 5 picks are: 1. Rickie Fowler (It’s time for the No. 9-ranked golfer in the world to win his first Major.) 2. Jordan Spieth 3. Rory McIlroy 4. Brooks Koepka. 5. Francesco Molinari 20. Tiger Woods. Cut. Phil Mickelson. TIP OF THE DAY: Tiger will not win the 2019 Masters!

Special Note: Don’t’ dismiss my picks lightly. Last year I won our club’s Masters pool!

 

Play Away!


1 comment


  • James W. Scott, Jr.

    Belatedly getting around to reading this post. Could you please advise who will “not win” the 2019 Open Championship. I have a small wager I’d like to make.


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